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Photo: A Cricket Premi
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Indian Premier League · 2025 · Men
3 Jun 2025 · T20
Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad · Venue photographRecorded result
Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 51%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Punjab Kings: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 3 Jun 2025, Royal Challengers Bengaluru played Punjab Kings at Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad. Recorded result: Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 6 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.