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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
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Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
16 Jul 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 44%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 6% to 45% during the match (Lancashire: 55% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Evelyn Jonesstumped · Lauren Winfield · Sophia Smale6 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Lauren Winfield · b Sophia Smale | 59 | 58 | 6 | 0 | 101.72 |
| Seren Smalecaught · Jodi Grewcock · Eva Gray 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jodi Grewcock · b Eva Gray | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| TN Kestevenbowled · Grace Scrivens 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Grace Scrivens | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Ailsa Listerstumped · Lauren Winfield · Jo Gardner 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Lauren Winfield · b Jo Gardner | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 |
| bowled · b Madeline Penna |
| 20 |
| 24 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 83.33 |
 Fi Morriscaught · Lauren Winfield · Madeline Penna0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lauren Winfield · b Madeline Penna | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Alana Kingnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Tara Norrisnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Coppack0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Madeline Penna0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Eva Gray0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Grace Scrivens0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Jo Gardner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Sophia Smale0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.29 | 2 | 0 |
1-21 (Seren Smale, 4.1) · 2-44 (TN Kesteven, 8.0) · 3-50 (Ailsa Lister, 9.4) · 4-80 (Eleanor Threlkeld, 16.2) · 5-80 (Fi Morris, 16.3) · 6-106 (Evelyn Jones, 19.5)
Recorded target: 108 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 7 | 14 | 40/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 50/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 51/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 54/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 57/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 60/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 64/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 70/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 78/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 84/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 95/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 102/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 108/6 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mahika Gaur: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Winfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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