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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A · 2026 · Men
19 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
France started on 32%; France batted first.
France's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (Jersey: 50% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Carlyonnot out 6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 57* | 42 | 6 | 1 | 135.71 |
| Patrick Gougecaught · Noman Amjad · Mohammad Khan Rafah 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Noman Amjad · b Mohammad Khan Rafah | 54 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 158.82 |
| Nick Greenwoodcaught · G Mckeon · Rahimgul Naseri 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · G Mckeon · b Rahimgul Naseri | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Jonty Jennernot out 4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 33* | 15 | 4 | 2 | 220.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD |
|---|
| NB |
|---|
| Abdurrahman Ahmadzai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noman Amjad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rahimgul Naseri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Dawood Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Khan Rafah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.65 | 2 | 0 |
1-93 (Patrick Gouge, 9.4) · 2-96 (Nick Greenwood, 10.5)
Recorded target: 146 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 38/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 47/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 57/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 67/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 72/0 |
| 9 | 14 | 86/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 93/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 96/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 98/2 |
| 13 | 15 | 113/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 118/2 |
| 15 | 16 | 134/2 |
| 16 | 14 | 148/2 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.