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Asian Cricket Council Men's Challenger Cup · 2023/24 · Men
11 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Cambodia started on 27%; Cambodia batted first.
Cambodia's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Waheedcaught · US Hathinjar · S Godara 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · US Hathinjar · b S Godara | 17 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 170.00 |
| Faisal Khancaught and bowled · Utkarsh Jain 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Utkarsh Jain | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 187.50 |
| Waqar Ul Hassancaught · Lakshit Gupta · RR Sharan 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lakshit Gupta · b RR Sharan | 35 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 116.67 |
| Waji Ul Hassancaught · S Godara · Utkarsh Jain 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Godara · b Utkarsh Jain | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Hisham Sheikhnot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 47* | 41 | 3 | 1 | 114.63 |
| caught · US Hathinjar · b S Godara |
| 26 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 216.67 |
| Usman Khalidnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Godara0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 10.75 | 4 | 0 |
| GC Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 10.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Utkarsh Jain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Luqman Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| RR Sharan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-32 (Abdul Waheed, 2.4) · 2-35 (Faisal Khan, 3.2) · 3-37 (Waji Ul Hassan, 4.0) · 4-107 (Waqar Ul Hassan, 13.2) · 5-146 (Manan Ali, 17.0)
Recorded target: 148 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 27/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 35/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 37/3 |
| 5 | 7 | 44/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 54/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 59/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 71/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 80/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 90/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 96/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 106/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 110/4 |
| 15 | 16 | 126/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 138/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 146/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 151/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.