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Guernsey Women tour of Jersey · 2026 · Women
14 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Jersey started on 69%; Jersey batted first.
Jersey's chances ranged from 70% to 100% during the match (Guernsey: 0% to 30%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Robinsonbowled · O Bastin 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b O Bastin | 17 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 53.13 |
| F Bulpittcaught · Lily Greig · O Bastin 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lily Greig · b O Bastin | 10 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 41.67 |
| A Le Raycaught · Analise Merritt · Maria Da Rocha 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Analise Merritt · b Maria Da Rocha | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| K Robertnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 22 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| E Millingtonrun out · Grace Wetherall · D Fisher 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Grace Wetherall | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| H Atkinsonbowled · O Bastin0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b O Bastin |
| 9 |
| 15 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
| K De La Marebowled · Erin Duffy 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Erin Duffy | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| R Homebowled · Trinity Smith 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Trinity Smith | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| O Morgannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Greechan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Erin Duffy1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Trinity Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Analise Merritt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| O Bastin0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Maria Da Rocha0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| D Fisher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-29 (F Bulpitt, 8.1) · 2-37 (M Robinson, 10.3) · 3-45 (A Le Ray, 11.4) · 4-46 (E Millington, 12.2) · 5-69 (H Atkinson, 16.3) · 6-79 (K De La Mare, 17.5) · 7-84 (R Home, 19.0)
Recorded target: 189 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 19/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 22/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 27/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 29/0 |
| 9 | 3 | 32/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 34/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 39/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 46/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 49/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 53/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 58/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 70/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 79/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 84/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 88/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.