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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
16 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Luxembourg started on 51%; Luxembourg batted first.
Luxembourg's chances ranged from 10% to 81% during the match (Israel: 19% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSLK Narayanacaught · Milad Momend · M Cope 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Milad Momend · b M Cope | 32 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 168.42 |
| J Evanscaught · SKS Gill · P Malav 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SKS Gill · b P Malav | 29 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 193.33 |
| Niv Nagavkarcaught · Timothy C. Barker · M Cope 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Timothy C. Barker · b M Cope | 25 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 147.06 |
| E Solomonnot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 59* | 46 | 5 | 0 | 128.26 |
| S Bangeracaught · Joost Mees · P Malav 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joost Mees · b P Malav | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| E Bhonkar |
| lbw · b SKS Gill |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Y Divekarcaught · M Cope · V Vijh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Cope · b V Vijh | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Virendra Kumarcaught · Thomas Martin · V Vijh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thomas Martin · b V Vijh | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Yogev Nagavkarlbw · SKS Gill 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b SKS Gill | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| T Kahamkernot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Cope0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| A Nanda0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Milad Momend0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 19.00 | 3 | 0 |
| V Vijh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| P Malav0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| SKS Gill0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.22 | 0 | 0 |
1-65 (J Evans, 5.1) · 2-69 (WSLK Narayana, 6.1) · 3-123 (Niv Nagavkar, 12.3) · 4-139 (S Bangera, 14.4) · 5-147 (E Bhonkar, 15.4) · 6-150 (Y Divekar, 16.2) · 7-160 (Virendra Kumar, 18.2) · 8-171 (Yogev Nagavkar, 19.4)
Recorded target: 173 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 24 | 43/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 51/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 65/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 69/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 79/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 86/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 92/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 102/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 107/2 |
| 12 | 14 | 121/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 127/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 136/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 145/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 149/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 154/6 |
| 18 | 2 | 156/6 |
| 19 | 12 | 168/7 |
| 20 | 7 | 175/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.