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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
23 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 66%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 46%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alishan Sharafubowled · N Salekar1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b N Salekar | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Waseem Muhammadlbw · Nopphon Senamontree 0 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Nopphon Senamontree | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 216.67 |
| Asif Khancaught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · Nopphon Senamontree 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · b Nopphon Senamontree | 46 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 135.29 |
| Rahul Choprabowled · Sarawut Maliwan 8 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Sarawut Maliwan | 80 | 51 | 8 | 4 | 156.86 |
| Syed Haidercaught · Austin Lazarus · Chanchai Pengkumta 1 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Austin Lazarus · b Chanchai Pengkumta |
| 16 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 160.00 |
| Ali Naseercaught · Y Saranonnakkun · Chanchai Pengkumta 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Y Saranonnakkun · b Chanchai Pengkumta | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Zuhaib Zubaircaught and bowled · N Salekar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b N Salekar | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| D Parasharnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 4 | 1 | 1 | 325.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Salekar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 2 | 11.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Chanchai Pengkumta0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| A Kalasi0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 1 |
| S Desungnoen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Waseem Muhammad, 1.5) · 2-19 (Alishan Sharafu, 2.1) · 3-141 (Asif Khan, 15.3) · 4-149 (Rahul Chopra, 16.3) · 5-165 (Ali Naseer, 18.2) · 6-176 (Syed Haider, 19.0) · 7-192 (Zuhaib Zubair, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 20/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 23/2 |
| 5 | 17 | 40/2 |
| 6 | 13 | 53/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 56/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 71/2 |
| 10 | 17 | 88/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 100/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 108/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 113/2 |
| 14 | 13 | 126/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 134/2 |
| 16 | 14 | 148/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 152/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 164/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 176/6 |
| 20 | 16 | 192/7 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
