Barbados TridentsversusJamaica Empress

12 Sept 2026 · T20

Kensington Oval · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Barbados Tridents won by 3 runs

Barbados Tridents20.0 overs140/7 Jamaica Empress20.0 overs137/4 Kensington Oval ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Barbados Tridents started on 45%; Barbados Tridents batted first.

Barbados Tridents’s chance of winning (%) · Jamaica Empress is the rest

Barbados Tridents's chances ranged from 3% to 70% during the match (Jamaica Empress: 30% to 97%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.6: Q Joseph to SR Taylor, four by SR Taylor. Jamaica Empress up from 69% to 90%.
2nd inns 19.3: Q Joseph to AA Alleyne, 0 runs to AA Alleyne. Barbados Tridents up from 45% to 60%.
2nd inns 19.6: Q Joseph to AA Alleyne, 1 run to AA Alleyne. Barbados Tridents up from 70% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Barbados Tridents140/7 Jamaica Empress137/4

Innings 1