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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
27 Oct 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 59%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhcaught · Zach Lion-Cachet · Daniel Doram 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zach Lion-Cachet · b Daniel Doram | 67 | 76 | 7 | 1 | 88.16 |
| Jeet Shahcaught · Zach Lion-Cachet · Aryan Dutt 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zach Lion-Cachet · b Aryan Dutt | 15 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 55.56 |
| Hammad Mirzacaught and bowled · Zach Lion-Cachet 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Zach Lion-Cachet | 15 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 78.95 |
| Mujibur Alicaught · Colin Ackermann · Daniel Doram 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Colin Ackermann · b Daniel Doram | 29 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 69.05 |
| AR Bishtlbw · Aryan Dutt 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aryan Dutt | 27 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 75.00 |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 59% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 41%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Aryan Dutt · b Max O'Dowd |
| 4 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
| Zikria Islamcaught · Michael Levitt · Zach Lion-Cachet 5 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Michael Levitt · b Zach Lion-Cachet | 77 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 167.39 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahcaught · Bas de Leede · Aryan Dutt 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Aryan Dutt | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Samay Shrivastavacaught · Colin Ackermann · Zach Lion-Cachet 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Colin Ackermann · b Zach Lion-Cachet | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Jay Odedracaught · Bas de Leede · Fred Klaassen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Fred Klaassen | 11 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 39.29 |
|---|
| Shah Faisalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Klaassen1 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 49 | 1 | 4.90 | 7 | 0 |
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 4.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 51 | 3 | 5.10 | 1 | 0 |
 Zach Lion-Cachet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.3 | 0 | 43 | 3 | 5.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Doram1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 51 | 2 | 5.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Max O'Dowd0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 2 | 0 |
1-35 (Jeet Shah, 8.3) · 2-60 (Hammad Mirza, 13.2) · 3-131 (Mujibur Ali, 26.2) · 4-140 (Jatinder Singh, 28.4) · 5-152 (LN Saishiv, 31.1) · 6-200 (AR Bisht, 37.1) · 7-216 (Hassnain Shah, 39.1) · 8-223 (Samay Shrivastava, 41.4) · 9-255 (Jay Odedra, 49.0) · 10-265 (Zikria Islam, 49.3)
Recorded target: 372 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 29/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 33/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 35/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 36/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 39/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 45/1 |
| 13 | 15 | 60/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 62/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 69/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 71/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 76/2 |
| 18 | 7 | 83/2 |
| 19 | 11 | 94/2 |
| 20 | 6 | 100/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 103/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 105/2 |
| 23 | 0 | 105/2 |
| 24 | 11 | 116/2 |
| 25 | 5 | 121/2 |
| 26 | 4 | 125/2 |
| 27 | 7 | 132/3 |
| 28 | 8 | 140/3 |
| 29 | 3 | 143/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 147/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 151/4 |
| 32 | 17 | 168/5 |
| 33 | 3 | 171/5 |
| 34 | 9 | 180/5 |
| 35 | 7 | 187/5 |
| 36 | 5 | 192/5 |
| 37 | 8 | 200/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 204/6 |
| 39 | 12 | 216/6 |
| 40 | 1 | 217/7 |
| 41 | 3 | 220/7 |
| 42 | 3 | 223/8 |
| 43 | 2 | 225/8 |
| 44 | 5 | 230/8 |
| 45 | 3 | 233/8 |
| 46 | 5 | 238/8 |
| 47 | 2 | 240/8 |
| 48 | 3 | 243/8 |
| 49 | 12 | 255/9 |
| 50 | 10 | 265/10 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
