NamibiaversusScotland

17 Nov 2025 · T20

Recorded result

Scotland won by 7 wickets

Namibia20.0 overs81/9 Scotland14.2 overs82/3 Terdthai Cricket Ground, Bangkok ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Scotland more likely to win

35%Namibia65%Scotland

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Scotland rate stronger than Namibia (1,574 vs 1,508 on our results rating)
In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Scotland won 1 and Namibia won 0

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Namibia started on 34%; Namibia batted first.

Namibia’s chance of winning (%) · Scotland is the rest

Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 37% during the match (Scotland: 63% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.5: R Slater to M Mwatile, M Mwatile out. Scotland up from 63% to 70%.
2.4: R Slater to Yasmeen Khan, Yasmeen Khan out. Scotland up from 72% to 79%.
5.2: PA Chatterji to SA Wittmann, SA Wittmann out. Scotland up from 73% to 79%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Namibia81/9 Scotland82/3

Innings 1

Namibia

81/920.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Namibia batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
M Mwatilebowled · Rachel Slater 1 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Rachel Slater	4	5	1	0	80.00
Kayleen Greencaught · Sarah Bryce · Priyanaz Chatterji 0 fours · 3 sixes	caught · Sarah Bryce · b Priyanaz Chatterji	42	56	0	3	75.00
Yasmeen Khanbowled · Rachel Slater 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Rachel Slater	0	5	0	0	0.00
Sune Wittmanncaught · Sarah Bryce · Priyanaz Chatterji 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Sarah Bryce · b Priyanaz Chatterji	1	5	0	0	20.00
B Manuelcaught · Sarah Bryce · Hannah Rainey 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Sarah Bryce · b Hannah Rainey	0	8	0	0	0.00

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Rachel Slater1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	1	11	3	2.75	1
Priyanaz Chatterji1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	1	7	2	1.75	2
Olivia Bell0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	24	2	6.00	2
Hannah Rainey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	18	2	4.50	0
Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	0	1	0	1.00	0
Darcey Carter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	17	0	5.67	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	5	5/1
2	2	7/1
3	0	7/2
4	15	22/2
5	1	23/2
6	0	23/3
7	1	24/4
8	1	25/4
9	3	28/4
10	9	37/4
11	2	39/4
12	4	43/4
13	6	49/4
14	3	52/4
15	4	56/4
16	6	62/4
17	1	63/6
18	10	73/7
19	6	79/8
20	2	81/9

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