Lucknow Super GiantsversusGujarat Titans

22 May 2025 · T20

Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lucknow Super Giants won by 33 runs

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs235/2 Gujarat Titans20.0 overs202/9 Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 35%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 36% to 100% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 0% to 65%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 7.6: Avesh Khan to Shubman Gill, Shubman Gill out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 72% to 82%.
2nd inns 16.1: W O'Rourke to SE Rutherford, SE Rutherford out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 53% to 68%.
2nd inns 16.6: W O'Rourke to R Tewatia, R Tewatia out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 78% to 89%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.