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Indonesia Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2025/26 · Men
12 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Myanmar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 72%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Timor-Leste: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyae Phyo Waicaught · EDS Pimheiro · Elias Tilman 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · EDS Pimheiro · b Elias Tilman | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 118.75 |
| Thuya Aungcaught and bowled · Raihan Hossain 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Raihan Hossain | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Htet Lin Aungbowled · Elias Tilman 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Elias Tilman | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Ye Naing Tunbowled · Suhail Sattar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Suhail Sattar | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
| Ko Ko Lin Thucaught · Elias Tilman · Suhail Sattar 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Elias Tilman · b Suhail Sattar | 40 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 117.65 |
| caught · Rahat Kazi · b Nazmul Huda |
| 10 |
| 20 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Htet Lin Oonot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 38* | 24 | 5 | 0 | 158.33 |
|---|
| Nyein Cham Soebowled · Elias Tilman 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Elias Tilman | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Nay Lin Htunnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 13 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Tilman0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Raihan Hossain0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Suhail Sattar0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Rahat Kazi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Yahya Suhail0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nazmul Huda0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-7 (Thuya Aung, 1.2) · 2-14 (Htet Lin Aung, 2.2) · 3-27 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 4.1) · 4-44 (Ye Naing Tun, 7.1) · 5-68 (Khin Aye, 11.5) · 6-97 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 15.2) · 7-108 (Nyein Cham Soe, 17.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 9 | 27/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 32/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 38/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 44/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 49/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 54/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 63/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 67/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 69/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 75/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 84/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 96/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 103/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 107/6 |
| 18 | 16 | 123/7 |
| 19 | 15 | 138/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 148/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.