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United Arab Emirates Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2025/26 · Women
28 Sept 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 55%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Zimbabwe: 28% to 100%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modester Mupachikwacaught · Katie Thompson · Esha Oza 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Katie Thompson · b Esha Oza | 52 | 76 | 6 | 0 | 68.42 |
| Kelis Ndhlovucaught and bowled · Esha Oza 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Esha Oza | 61 | 99 | 8 | 0 | 61.62 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Heena Hotchandani · Esha Oza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Heena Hotchandani · b Esha Oza | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 29.41 |
| Loren Tshumacaught · Theertha Satish · MD Botha 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Theertha Satish · b MD Botha | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 76.92 |
| Chiedza Dhururunot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 30 | 1 | 0 | 30.00 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| not out |
| 9* |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 128.57 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 15 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Dharnidharka0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 7 | 0 |
| ATS Silva0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 5.20 | 1 | 0 |
| MD Botha1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 4.60 | 3 | 0 |
| Esha Oza2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 28 | 3 | 3.11 | 1 | 0 |
| Heena Hotchandani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Vaishnave Mahesh1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.2 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 3.43 | 1 | 0 |
| Katie Thompson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 2.60 | 2 | 0 |
1-123 (Modester Mupachikwa, 27.5) · 2-124 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 29.2) · 3-136 (Loren Tshuma, 32.1) · 4-143 (Chipo Mugeri, 35.5)
Recorded target: 161 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 31/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 32/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 36/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 46/0 |
| 9 | 11 | 57/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 63/0 |
| 11 | 1 | 64/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 65/0 |
| 13 | 5 | 70/0 |
| 14 | 6 | 76/0 |
| 15 | 1 | 77/0 |
| 16 | 8 | 85/0 |
| 17 | 2 | 87/0 |
| 18 | 2 | 89/0 |
| 19 | 0 | 89/0 |
| 20 | 2 | 91/0 |
| 21 | 5 | 96/0 |
| 22 | 2 | 98/0 |
| 23 | 5 | 103/0 |
| 24 | 4 | 107/0 |
| 25 | 6 | 113/0 |
| 26 | 3 | 116/0 |
| 27 | 5 | 121/0 |
| 28 | 2 | 123/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 124/1 |
| 30 | 2 | 126/2 |
| 31 | 7 | 133/2 |
| 32 | 3 | 136/2 |
| 33 | 0 | 136/3 |
| 34 | 1 | 137/3 |
| 35 | 6 | 143/3 |
| 36 | 0 | 143/4 |
| 37 | 6 | 149/4 |
| 38 | 0 | 149/4 |
| 39 | 6 | 155/4 |
| 40 | 5 | 160/4 |
| 41 | 1 | 161/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.