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India tour of Australia · 2024/25 · Men
22 Nov 2024 · Test
Perth Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Nathan McSweeney · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan McSweeney · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 KL Rahulcaught · Alex Carey · Mitchell Starc3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Mitchell Starc | 26 | 74 | 3 | 0 | 35.14 |
| Devdutt Padikkalcaught · Alex Carey · Josh Hazlewood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Josh Hazlewood | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
| caught · Usman Khawaja · b Josh Hazlewood |
| 5 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 41.67 |
 Rishabh Pantcaught · Steve Smith · Pat Cummins3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Pat Cummins | 37 | 78 | 3 | 1 | 47.44 |
|---|
| Dhruv Jurelcaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Mitchell Marsh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Mitchell Marsh | 11 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 55.00 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarcaught · Alex Carey · Mitchell Marsh0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Mitchell Marsh | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 26.67 |
|---|
 Nitish Kumar Reddycaught · Usman Khawaja · Pat Cummins6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Usman Khawaja · b Pat Cummins | 41 | 59 | 6 | 1 | 69.49 |
|---|
| Harshit Ranacaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Josh Hazlewood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Josh Hazlewood | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · Alex Carey · Josh Hazlewood0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Josh Hazlewood | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc3 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 11.0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1.27 | 1 | 1 |
 Josh Hazlewood5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 5 | 29 | 4 | 2.23 | 0 | 0 |
 Pat Cummins2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.4 | 2 | 67 | 2 | 4.28 | 1 | 0 |
 Nathan Lyon1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 4.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Mitchell Marsh1 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 2.40 | 0 | 3 |
1-5 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 2.1) · 2-14 (Devdutt Padikkal, 11.0) · 3-32 (Virat Kohli, 16.2) · 4-47 (KL Rahul, 22.2) · 5-59 (Dhruv Jurel, 27.5) · 6-73 (Washington Sundar, 31.4) · 7-121 (Rishabh Pant, 45.5) · 8-128 (Harshit Rana, 46.4) · 9-144 (Jasprit Bumrah, 49.0) · 10-150 (Nitish Kumar Reddy, 49.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 9/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 14/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 14/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 18/2 |
| 13 | 0 | 18/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 20/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 21/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 32/2 |
| 17 | 0 | 32/3 |
| 18 | 4 | 36/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 40/3 |
| 20 | 0 | 40/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 43/3 |
| 22 | 4 | 47/3 |
| 23 | 0 | 47/4 |
| 24 | 0 | 47/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 51/4 |
| 26 | 0 | 51/4 |
| 27 | 7 | 58/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 60/5 |
| 29 | 6 | 66/5 |
| 30 | 1 | 67/5 |
| 31 | 4 | 71/5 |
| 32 | 2 | 73/6 |
| 33 | 1 | 74/6 |
| 34 | 8 | 82/6 |
| 35 | 1 | 83/6 |
| 36 | 8 | 91/6 |
| 37 | 2 | 93/6 |
| 38 | 4 | 97/6 |
| 39 | 1 | 98/6 |
| 40 | 7 | 105/6 |
| 41 | 3 | 108/6 |
| 42 | 6 | 114/6 |
| 43 | 4 | 118/6 |
| 44 | 3 | 121/6 |
| 45 | 0 | 121/6 |
| 46 | 3 | 124/7 |
| 47 | 4 | 128/8 |
| 48 | 8 | 136/8 |
| 49 | 8 | 144/9 |
| 50 | 6 | 150/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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