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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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India tour of Australia · 2025/26 · Men
23 Oct 2025 · ODI
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rohit Sharmacaught · Josh Hazlewood · Mitchell Starc7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Josh Hazlewood · b Mitchell Starc | 73 | 97 | 7 | 2 | 75.26 |
 Shubman Gillcaught · Mitchell Marsh · Xavier Bartlett1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Marsh · b Xavier Bartlett | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Virat Kohlilbw · Xavier Bartlett0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Xavier Bartlett | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Shreyas Iyerbowled · Adam Zampa7 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Adam Zampa |
| 61 |
| 77 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 79.22 |
 Axar Patelcaught · Mitchell Starc · Adam Zampa5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Starc · b Adam Zampa | 44 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 107.32 |
|---|
 KL Rahulbowled · Adam Zampa1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Adam Zampa | 11 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 73.33 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarcaught · Josh Hazlewood · Xavier Bartlett0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Hazlewood · b Xavier Bartlett | 12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Nitish Kumar Reddystumped · Alex Carey · Adam Zampa1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Alex Carey · b Adam Zampa | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Harshit Rananot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 24* | 18 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Arshdeep Singhbowled · Mitchell Starc2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Starc | 13 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 92.86 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 62 | 2 | 6.20 | 3 | 0 |
 Josh Hazlewood2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 2.90 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 39 | 3 | 3.90 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Owen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 60 | 4 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Travis Head0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-17 (Shubman Gill, 6.1) · 2-17 (Virat Kohli, 6.5) · 3-135 (Rohit Sharma, 29.3) · 4-160 (Shreyas Iyer, 32.4) · 5-174 (KL Rahul, 36.2) · 6-213 (Washington Sundar, 41.5) · 7-223 (Axar Patel, 44.1) · 8-226 (Nitish Kumar Reddy, 45.0) · 9-263 (Arshdeep Singh, 49.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 14/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 17/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 17/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 22/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 24/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 29/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 33/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 37/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 41/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 46/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 50/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 56/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 18 | 7 | 66/2 |
| 19 | 17 | 83/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 86/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 92/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 94/2 |
| 23 | 5 | 99/2 |
| 24 | 6 | 105/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 112/2 |
| 26 | 3 | 115/2 |
| 27 | 2 | 117/2 |
| 28 | 12 | 129/2 |
| 29 | 6 | 135/2 |
| 30 | 2 | 137/3 |
| 31 | 6 | 143/3 |
| 32 | 13 | 156/3 |
| 33 | 5 | 161/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 163/4 |
| 35 | 5 | 168/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 170/4 |
| 37 | 7 | 177/5 |
| 38 | 3 | 180/5 |
| 39 | 6 | 186/5 |
| 40 | 12 | 198/5 |
| 41 | 10 | 208/5 |
| 42 | 5 | 213/6 |
| 43 | 4 | 217/6 |
| 44 | 6 | 223/6 |
| 45 | 3 | 226/8 |
| 46 | 3 | 229/8 |
| 47 | 16 | 245/8 |
| 48 | 10 | 255/8 |
| 49 | 4 | 259/8 |
| 50 | 5 | 264/9 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Arshdeep Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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