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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
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India tour of Australia · 2025/26 · Men
23 Oct 2025 · ODI
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Marshcaught · KL Rahul · Arshdeep Singh1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Arshdeep Singh | 11 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 45.83 |
 Travis Headcaught · Virat Kohli · Harshit Rana1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Virat Kohli · b Harshit Rana | 28 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 70.00 |
| Matthew Shortcaught · Mohammed Siraj · Harshit Rana 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammed Siraj · b Harshit Rana | 74 | 78 | 4 | 2 | 94.87 |
 Matt Renshawbowled · Axar Patel1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Axar Patel | 30 |
| 30 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 100.00 |
 Alex Careybowled · Washington Sundar0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Washington Sundar | 9 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
| Cooper Connollynot out 5 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 61* | 53 | 5 | 1 | 115.09 |
|---|
| Mitchell Owencaught · Arshdeep Singh · Washington Sundar 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Arshdeep Singh · b Washington Sundar | 36 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 156.52 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettcaught · Shubman Gill · Arshdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Arshdeep Singh | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starccaught · Axar Patel · Mohammed Siraj1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Axar Patel · b Mohammed Siraj | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
 Adam Zampanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 4.90 | 0 | 0 |
 Arshdeep Singh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.2 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 4.92 | 3 | 0 |
| Harshit Rana0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 59 | 2 | 7.38 | 2 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 5.29 | 1 | 0 |
 Nitish Kumar Reddy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Axar Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 5.20 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Mitchell Marsh, 7.2) · 2-54 (Travis Head, 12.2) · 3-109 (Matt Renshaw, 21.4) · 4-132 (Alex Carey, 27.0) · 5-187 (Matthew Short, 36.0) · 6-246 (Mitchell Owen, 42.3) · 7-255 (Xavier Bartlett, 44.3) · 8-260 (Mitchell Starc, 45.5)
Recorded target: 265 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 15/0 |
| 7 | 11 | 26/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 32/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 33/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 42/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 48/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 53/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 57/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 65/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 71/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 76/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 81/2 |
| 18 | 12 | 93/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 96/2 |
| 20 | 7 | 103/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 107/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 110/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 112/3 |
| 24 | 5 | 117/3 |
| 25 | 9 | 126/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 130/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 132/4 |
| 28 | 3 | 135/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 139/4 |
| 30 | 2 | 141/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 145/4 |
| 32 | 10 | 155/4 |
| 33 | 8 | 163/4 |
| 34 | 3 | 166/4 |
| 35 | 9 | 175/4 |
| 36 | 12 | 187/5 |
| 37 | 3 | 190/5 |
| 38 | 14 | 204/5 |
| 39 | 3 | 207/5 |
| 40 | 9 | 216/5 |
| 41 | 13 | 229/5 |
| 42 | 14 | 243/5 |
| 43 | 5 | 248/6 |
| 44 | 4 | 252/6 |
| 45 | 3 | 255/7 |
| 46 | 5 | 260/8 |
| 47 | 5 | 265/8 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Arshdeep Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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