Lahore QalandarsversusPeshawar Zalmi

24 Apr 2025 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Peshawar Zalmi won by 7 wickets

Lahore Qalandars19.2 overs129/10 Peshawar Zalmi16.4 overs133/3 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 52%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Peshawar Zalmi is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 0% to 59% during the match (Peshawar Zalmi: 41% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.6: AS Joseph to Fakhar Zaman, Fakhar Zaman out. Peshawar Zalmi up from 41% to 54%.
2.2: L Wood to Asif Ali, Asif Ali out. Peshawar Zalmi up from 55% to 67%.
3.4: AS Joseph to Abdullah Shafique, Abdullah Shafique out. Peshawar Zalmi up from 76% to 90%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars129/10 Peshawar Zalmi133/3

Innings 1