Texas Super KingsversusMI New York

21 Jun 2026 · T20

Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photograph

Recorded result

MI New York won by 8 wickets

Texas Super Kings19.2 overs158/10 MI New York17.4 overs162/2 Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Texas Super Kings started on 51%; Texas Super Kings batted first.

Texas Super Kings’s chance of winning (%) · MI New York is the rest

Texas Super Kings's chances ranged from 0% to 52% during the match (MI New York: 48% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.3: TA Boult to SK Patel, SK Patel out. MI New York up from 50% to 65%.
2.3: TA Boult to RR Rossouw, RR Rossouw out. MI New York up from 51% to 64%.
5.4: C Bosch to SR Mukkamalla, SR Mukkamalla out. MI New York up from 63% to 73%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Texas Super Kings158/10 MI New York162/2

Innings 1