Los Angeles Knight RidersversusSeattle Orcas

21 Jun 2026 · T20

Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Los Angeles Knight Riders won by 81 runs

Los Angeles Knight Riders20.0 overs196/10 Seattle Orcas15.3 overs115/10 Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Los Angeles Knight Riders started on 47%; Los Angeles Knight Riders batted first.

Los Angeles Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Seattle Orcas is the rest

Los Angeles Knight Riders's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Seattle Orcas: 0% to 56%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 2.3: SP Narine to TL Seifert, TL Seifert out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 63% to 74%.
2nd inns 4.2: SP Narine to MP Breetzke, MP Breetzke out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 66% to 78%.
2nd inns 5.1: C le Roux to Shayan Jahangir, Shayan Jahangir out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 78% to 88%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Los Angeles Knight Riders196/10 Seattle Orcas115/10

Innings 1