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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
9 Jul 2025 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 50%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (Gloucestershire: 0% to 71%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Ollie Price · b Matt Taylor | 57 | 35 | 1 | 5 | 162.86 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Bancroft · b David Payne | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ajeet Dale · b Josh Shaw | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| caught · D'Arcy Short · b Graeme van Buuren |
| 46 |
| 33 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 139.39 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 31* | 24 | 3 | 0 | 129.17 |
|---|
| Laurie Evansbowled · Ajeet Dale 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajeet Dale | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Cameron Bancroft · b Josh Shaw | 32 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 213.33 |
|---|
| Ollie Sykescaught · Ollie Price · Josh Shaw 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Price · b Josh Shaw | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 4 | 1 | 1 | 325.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Payne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 10.25 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 13.75 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Dominic Sibley, 1.0) · 2-14 (Jason Roy, 2.0) · 3-101 (Will Jacks, 11.2) · 4-115 (Sam Curran, 13.0) · 5-118 (Laurie Evans, 14.0) · 6-173 (Tom Curran, 18.5) · 7-173 (Ollie Sykes, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 14/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 21/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 34/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 41/2 |
| 7 | 16 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 66/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 75/2 |
| 10 | 15 | 90/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 95/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 106/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 115/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 118/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 125/5 |
| 16 | 15 | 140/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 153/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 159/5 |
| 19 | 14 | 173/7 |
| 20 | 20 | 193/7 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajeet Dale: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Graeme van Buuren: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.