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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
9 Jul 2025 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 50%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (Gloucestershire: 0% to 71%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miles Hammondcaught · Laurie Evans · Will Jacks3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Will Jacks | 14 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 107.69 |
 D'Arcy Shortcaught · Jason Roy · Sam Curran8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Sam Curran | 70 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 132.08 |
| Cameron Bancroftcaught · Daniel Lawrence · Will Jacks 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Will Jacks | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 107.69 |
 Ollie Pricecaught · Daniel Lawrence · Adam Zampa0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Jack Taylorbowled · Sam Curran 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sam Curran | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 123.08 |
|---|
 Ben Charlesworthbowled · Adam Zampa0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Adam Zampa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 225.00 |
|---|
 Graeme van Buurencaught · Jason Roy · Chris Jordan0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Chris Jordan | 19 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 190.00 |
|---|
 Matt Taylorcaught · Jason Roy · Sam Curran0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Sam Curran | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| David Paynenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Josh Shawbowled · Chris Jordan0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Jordan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ajeet Dalenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Miles Hammond, 5.1) · 2-77 (Cameron Bancroft, 9.5) · 3-78 (Ollie Price, 10.1) · 4-121 (D'Arcy Short, 15.2) · 5-124 (Jack Taylor, 15.5) · 6-144 (Ben Charlesworth, 17.0) · 7-147 (Matt Taylor, 17.4) · 8-158 (Graeme van Buuren, 18.3) · 9-158 (Josh Shaw, 18.4)
Recorded target: 194 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 39/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 63/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 72/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 78/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 82/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 90/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 98/3 |
| 14 | 14 | 112/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 120/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 125/5 |
| 17 | 19 | 144/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 150/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 160/9 |
| 20 | 5 | 165/9 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajeet Dale: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Graeme van Buuren: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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