Multan SultansversusQuetta Gladiators

12 Mar 2024 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Multan Sultans won by 79 runs

Multan Sultans20.0 overs185/4 Quetta Gladiators15.5 overs106/10 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Multan Sultans started on 55%; Multan Sultans batted first.

Multan Sultans’s chance of winning (%) · Quetta Gladiators is the rest

Multan Sultans's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Quetta Gladiators: 0% to 56%).

Biggest swings

2.5: Mohammad Amir to Yasir Khan, Yasir Khan out. Quetta Gladiators up from 43% to 54%.
2nd inns 2.2: DJ Willey to JJ Roy, JJ Roy out. Multan Sultans up from 52% to 65%.
2nd inns 2.6: DJ Willey to Saud Shakeel, Saud Shakeel out. Multan Sultans up from 65% to 78%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Quetta Gladiators chose to field
Player of the match: Mohammad Rizwan
match referees: Ali Naqvi
reserve umpires: Asif Yaqoob
tv umpires: CB Gaffaney
umpires: Rashid Riaz, RK Illingworth

Match history & source

On 12 Mar 2024, Multan Sultans played Quetta Gladiators at National Stadium, Karachi. Recorded result: Multan Sultans won by 79 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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