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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
5 Jul 2025 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 64%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 63% to 100% during the match (Derbyshire: 0% to 37%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Jewellcaught · Keaton Jennings · Luke Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keaton Jennings · b Luke Wood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Saqib Mahmood · Luke Wood1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saqib Mahmood · b Luke Wood | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| Martin Anderssonbowled · Luke Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Luke Wood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Keaton Jennings · Chris Green5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Keaton Jennings · b Chris Green | 53 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 132.50 |
| caught · Luke Wood · b Luke Wells |
| 14 |
| 20 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 70.00 |
 Samit Patelcaught · Philip Salt · Chris Green1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Philip Salt · b Chris Green | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleynot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 12 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Zak Chappellnot out3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 34* | 26 | 3 | 1 | 130.77 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Saqib Mahmood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Turner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Caleb Jewell, 0.1) · 2-0 (Martin Andersson, 0.2) · 3-28 (Aneurin Donald, 5.0) · 4-62 (Brooke Guest, 10.4) · 5-85 (Samit Patel, 13.3) · 6-86 (Wayne Madsen, 13.5)
Recorded target: 179 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 28/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 34/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 40/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 48/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 51/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 59/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 63/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 69/4 |
| 13 | 15 | 84/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 87/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 90/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 96/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 104/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 115/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 126/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 136/6 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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