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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
10 Jul 2026 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 40%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 0% to 47% during the match (Surrey: 53% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roynot out6 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 50* | 29 | 6 | 2 | 172.41 |
| Laurie Evansbowled · Hasan Mahmud 0 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 25 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 277.78 |
| Josh Philippenot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 15 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
| 3.0 |
| 0 |
| 34 |
| 1 |
| 11.33 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
 Matt Milnes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 28.00 | 4 | 0 |
|---|
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Ekansh Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13.20 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
1-43 (Laurie Evans, 3.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 29 | 42/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 52/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 57/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 73/1 |
| 7 | 13 | 86/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 95/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 106/1 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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