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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
9 Jun 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 66%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 1% to 86% during the match (Middlesex: 14% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Martin Andersson · Tom Helm0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Martin Andersson · b Tom Helm | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Leus du Plooy · Luke Hollman8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b Luke Hollman | 60 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 157.89 |
| Tawanda Muyeyebowled · Blake Cullen 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Blake Cullen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Marcus O'Riordanlbw · Ryan Higgins5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ryan Higgins | 28 | 11 | 5 |
| 0 |
| 254.55 |
 Sam Billingsbowled · Luke Hollman1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Luke Hollman | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 76.92 |
|---|
 Joe Denlycaught · Stephen Eskinazi · Tom Helm4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Stephen Eskinazi · b Tom Helm | 28 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 127.27 |
|---|
 Joey Evisonbowled · Josh de Caires0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh de Caires | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Beyers Swanepoelcaught · Stephen Eskinazi · Henry Brookes 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Stephen Eskinazi · b Henry Brookes | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Blake Cullen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Brookes0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh de Caires0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan Higgins0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Zak Crawley, 0.3) · 2-19 (Tawanda Muyeye, 2.0) · 3-85 (Marcus O'Riordan, 6.5) · 4-118 (Sam Billings, 11.1) · 5-131 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 13.3) · 6-143 (Joey Evison, 15.4) · 7-163 (Joe Denly, 18.1) · 8-167 (Beyers Swanepoel, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 19/2 |
| 3 | 9 | 28/2 |
| 4 | 15 | 43/2 |
| 5 | 20 | 63/2 |
| 6 | 15 | 78/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 85/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 89/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 97/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 106/3 |
| 11 | 12 | 118/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 122/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 130/4 |
| 14 | 2 | 132/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 140/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 145/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 148/6 |
| 18 | 15 | 163/6 |
| 19 | 3 | 166/7 |
| 20 | 7 | 173/8 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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