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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
9 Jun 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 66%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 1% to 86% during the match (Middlesex: 14% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazibowled · Beyers Swanepoel 6 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Beyers Swanepoel | 40 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 137.93 |
| Martin Anderssonlbw · Joe Denly 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Joe Denly | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ryan Higginslbw · Xavier Bartlett1 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Xavier Bartlett | 44 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 151.72 |
 Leus du Plooybowled · Xavier Bartlett1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Xavier Bartlett | 18 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Max Holdencaught · Matt Parkinson · Grant Stewart3 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Matt Parkinson · b Grant Stewart |
| 17 |
| 10 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 170.00 |
| Jack Daviescaught · Joey Evison · Xavier Bartlett 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Joey Evison · b Xavier Bartlett | 23 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 143.75 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmannot out1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 20* | 11 | 1 | 2 | 181.82 |
|---|
| Josh de Cairesnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Joe Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Beyers Swanepoel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 15.86 | 0 | 0 |
 Marcus O'Riordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-1 (Martin Andersson, 1.0) · 2-68 (Stephen Eskinazi, 8.3) · 3-103 (Ryan Higgins, 12.1) · 4-108 (Leus du Plooy, 12.4) · 5-138 (Max Holden, 15.4) · 6-163 (Jack Davies, 18.0)
Recorded target: 174 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 16 | 59/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 64/1 |
| 9 | 13 | 77/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 83/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 91/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 103/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 113/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 125/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 129/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 139/5 |
| 17 | 14 | 153/5 |
| 18 | 10 | 163/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 171/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 178/6 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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