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Bahrain tour of Qatar · 2025/26 · Men
11 Feb 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Qatar started on 26%; Qatar batted first.
Qatar's chances ranged from 24% to 100% during the match (Bahrain: 0% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saqlain Arshadbowled · Imran Anwar 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Imran Anwar | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Zubair Alilbw · Abdul Majeed 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Abdul Majeed | 34 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 154.55 |
| Imal Liyanagebowled · Muhammad Salman 7 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Salman | 82 | 42 | 7 | 4 | 195.24 |
| Muhammad Asimnot out 6 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 67* | 39 | 6 | 3 | 171.79 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baiglbw · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ali Dawood | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Shahzeb Afridicaught · Sohail Ahmed · Ali Dawood0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Sohail Ahmed · b Ali Dawood |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Shariq Munirnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 6 | 2 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Rizwan Butt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 12.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasser Nazir0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Muhammad Salman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Saqlain Arshad, 2.0) · 2-73 (Zubair Ali, 7.2) · 3-155 (Imal Liyanage, 15.5) · 4-184 (Mirza Mohammed Baig, 18.1) · 5-186 (Shahzeb Afridi, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 56/1 |
| 7 | 16 | 72/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 78/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 91/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 101/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 106/2 |
| 12 | 18 | 124/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 130/2 |
| 14 | 12 | 142/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 151/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 155/3 |
| 17 | 13 | 168/3 |
| 18 | 16 | 184/3 |
| 19 | 12 | 196/5 |
| 20 | 19 | 215/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.