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Bahrain tour of Qatar · 2025/26 · Men
11 Feb 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Qatar started on 26%; Qatar batted first.
Qatar's chances ranged from 24% to 100% during the match (Bahrain: 0% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Alicaught · Imal Liyanage · Shariq Munir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imal Liyanage · b Shariq Munir | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| P Kurupcaught · Shariq Munir · Mujeeb Ur Rehman 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shariq Munir · b Mujeeb Ur Rehman | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Yasser Nazircaught and bowled · Mujeeb Ur Rehman 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mujeeb Ur Rehman | 28 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 186.67 |
| Fiaz Ahmedcaught · Saqlain Arshad · Mujeeb Ur Rehman 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saqlain Arshad · b Mujeeb Ur Rehman | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 116.67 |
| Sohail Ahmedrun out · Mirza Mohammed Baig · Mirza Mohammed Baig 3 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Mirza Mohammed Baig | 56 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 136.59 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasirbowled · Mirza Mohammed Baig 2 fours · 2 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Mirza Mohammed Baig |
| 36 |
| 31 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 116.13 |
| Imran Anwarrun out · DAM Louis · Ikramullah Khan 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · DAM Louis | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 185.71 |
|---|
| Rizwan Buttnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shariq Munir0 maidens · 1 wides · 3 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 1 | 3 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baig0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Mujeeb Ur Rehman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Asim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Owais Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Asif Ali, 0.4) · 2-28 (P Kurup, 3.2) · 3-47 (Yasser Nazir, 5.4) · 4-60 (Fiaz Ahmed, 7.4) · 5-147 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 18.1) · 6-147 (Sohail Ahmed, 18.2) · 7-164 (Imran Anwar, 20.0)
Recorded target: 216 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 28/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 31/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 13 | 52/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 58/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 60/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 68/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 72/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 76/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 84/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 90/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 100/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 111/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 123/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 133/4 |
| 18 | 14 | 147/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 156/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 164/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.