OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Paramgoel
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Men's T20 World Cup · 2025/26 · Men
18 Feb 2026 · T20
Arun Jaitley Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 34%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (South Africa: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markrambowled · Haider Ali5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Haider Ali | 28 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 254.55 |
 Quinton de Kockcaught · Syed Haider · Muhammad Jawadullah3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Haider · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 14 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 87.50 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · D Parashar · Muhammad Farooq3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · D Parashar · b Muhammad Farooq | 30 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 187.50 |
| Dewald Breviscaught · H Kaushik · Muhammad Arfan 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · H Kaushik · b Muhammad Arfan |
| 36 |
| 25 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 144.00 |
| Tristan Stubbsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Jason Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 9.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Haider Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Arfan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Muhammad Farooq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (Aiden Markram, 3.0) · 2-56 (Quinton de Kock, 5.4) · 3-105 (Ryan Rickelton, 10.4) · 4-116 (Dewald Brevis, 11.4)
Recorded target: 123 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 32/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 39/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 47/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 56/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 62/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 73/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 86/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 93/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 107/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 116/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 121/4 |
| 14 | 2 | 123/4 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
