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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2026 · Men
22 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 39%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Hong Kong: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeeshan Alicaught · Jan Frylinck · Bernard Scholtz 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jan Frylinck · b Bernard Scholtz | 53 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 139.47 |
| S Mathurcaught · Jan Frylinck · JJ Smit 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jan Frylinck · b JJ Smit | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
| Babar Hayatcaught · Gerhard Erasmus · Jack Brassell 2 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b Jack Brassell | 60 | 31 | 2 | 6 | 193.55 |
| Shahid Wasifbowled · JJ Smit 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b JJ Smit | 34 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 200.00 |
| Anshuman Rathcaught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · Ruben Trumpelmann 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Aizaz Khannot out 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 7* |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 70.00 |
| Nasrulla Ranacaught · Ruben Trumpelmann · Jack Brassell 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ruben Trumpelmann · b Jack Brassell | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Mohammad Ghazanfarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Smit1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruben Trumpelmann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Brassell0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 2 | 12.50 | 6 | 0 |
| W Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (S Mathur, 2.4) · 2-131 (Babar Hayat, 12.5) · 3-133 (Zeeshan Ali, 13.2) · 4-144 (Anshuman Rath, 14.4) · 5-176 (Shahid Wasif, 17.5) · 6-188 (Nasrulla Rana, 18.3)
Recorded target: 231 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 20 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 69/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 78/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 87/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 96/1 |
| 11 | 20 | 116/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 124/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 132/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 137/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 145/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 151/4 |
| 17 | 24 | 175/4 |
| 18 | 2 | 177/5 |
| 19 | 17 | 194/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 200/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.