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Bulgaria in Cyprus T20I Series · 2025/26 · Men
3 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Cyprus more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bulgaria started on 18%; Bulgaria batted first.
Bulgaria's chances ranged from 0% to 19% during the match (Cyprus: 81% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Lakovcaught · CPPM Sadun · MPGT Ketiyage 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CPPM Sadun · b MPGT Ketiyage | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
| Isa Zaroocaught · Ashish Bam · Waqar Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashish Bam · b Waqar Ali | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| M Gogevcaught · Taranjit Singh · R Siriwardena 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Taranjit Singh · b R Siriwardena | 39 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 118.18 |
| K Krishnakumarrun out · Waqar Ali · Waqar Ali 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Waqar Ali | 21 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Manan Bashirbowled · R Siriwardena 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Siriwardena | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| bowled · b R Siriwardena |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| D Nikolovbowled · R Siriwardena 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Siriwardena | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Jakob Gulcaught · AUKDS Kalugala · MPGT Ketiyage 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AUKDS Kalugala · b MPGT Ketiyage | 13 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 86.67 |
|---|
| Danyal Rajacaught · R Siriwardena · MPGT Ketiyage 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Siriwardena · b MPGT Ketiyage | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
| J Dowlingnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| P Mishrarun out · Ashish Bam, Adam Senn · Waqar Ali 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ashish Bam, Adam Senn | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Senn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Waqar Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| MPGT Ketiyage1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 6.67 | 3 | 0 |
| A Shahi0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 6 | 0 |
| R Siriwardena0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| CPPM Sadun0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-4 (Isa Zaroo, 2.0) · 2-29 (H Lakov, 5.3) · 3-67 (M Gogev, 10.4) · 4-76 (Manan Bashir, 12.1) · 5-77 (Zeerak Chughtai, 12.2) · 6-83 (D Nikolov, 14.1) · 7-92 (K Krishnakumar, 15.1) · 8-114 (Danyal Raja, 18.3) · 9-115 (Jakob Gul, 18.5) · 10-125 (P Mishra, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 29/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 38/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 50/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 61/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 66/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 70/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 76/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 79/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 83/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 92/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 95/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 102/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 108/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 116/9 |
| 20 | 9 | 125/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.