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BCA Kalahari Women's T20 International Tournament · 2026 · Women
7 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Brazil more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Brazil started on 67%; Brazil batted first.
Brazil's chances ranged from 68% to 100% during the match (Malawi: 0% to 32%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Chinawarun out · L Moises, M Ribeiro · L Moises 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · L Moises, M Ribeiro | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Euless Chiralilebowled · LV Boas 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b LV Boas | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
| Sugeni Kananjicaught · CS Nascimento · NC Monteiro 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CS Nascimento · b NC Monteiro | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Praise Maziyabowled · Laura Cardoso 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Laura Cardoso | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| M Ndipobowled · NC Monteiro 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b NC Monteiro | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| A Alfonso |
| caught · Roberta Moretti Avery · b NC Monteiro |
| 3 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 42.86 |
| C Mangulamabowled · CS Nascimento 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b CS Nascimento | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| C Bwanalirun out · NC Monteiro, MB dos Santos · M Artur 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · NC Monteiro, MB dos Santos | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
|---|
| L Malinostumped · MB dos Santos · L Moises 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · MB dos Santos · b L Moises | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| W Matabwarun out · NC Monteiro · CS Nascimento 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · NC Monteiro | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| B Kasinjanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L Moises2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| LV Boas0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 4 | 0 |
| M Artur0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 4.62 | 1 | 0 |
| NC Monteiro0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Laura Cardoso0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| CS Nascimento0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (S Chinawa, 0.2) · 2-12 (Euless Chiralile, 3.3) · 3-21 (Sugeni Kananji, 5.1) · 4-21 (M Ndipo, 5.2) · 5-26 (A Alfonso, 7.1) · 6-28 (Praise Maziya, 8.2) · 7-28 (C Mangulama, 9.1) · 8-29 (L Malino, 10.2) · 9-30 (W Matabwa, 11.1) · 10-31 (C Bwanali, 12.1)
Recorded target: 168 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 13/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 21/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 25/4 |
| 7 | 1 | 26/4 |
| 8 | 1 | 27/5 |
| 9 | 1 | 28/6 |
| 10 | 1 | 29/7 |
| 11 | 0 | 29/8 |
| 12 | 1 | 30/9 |
| 13 | 1 | 31/10 |
Roberta Moretti Avery: WellingtonDaniel198 · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
