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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
27 Dec 2025 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 53%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 17% to 94% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 6% to 84%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Colin Munrobowled · Luke Wood2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Luke Wood | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 175.00 |
| Jack Wildermuthcaught · Hasan Ali · Liam Scott 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hasan Ali · b Liam Scott | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · JJS Sangha · Matthew Short2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · JJS Sangha · b Matthew Short | 33 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 157.14 |
| Hugh Weibgencaught · Jamie Overton · Matthew Short 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Matthew Short | 10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 90.91 |
| caught · Matthew Short · b Hasan Ali |
| 63 |
| 32 |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| 196.88 |
 Tom Alsopcaught · Jerrssis Wadia · Lloyd Pope0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jerrssis Wadia · b Lloyd Pope | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
 James Peirsonrun out · Mackenzie Harvey, Harry Nielsen · Luke Wood0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Mackenzie Harvey, Harry Nielsen | 13 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 130.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettcaught · Mackenzie Harvey · Hasan Ali 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mackenzie Harvey · b Hasan Ali | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 115.38 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridicaught · Harry Nielsen · Luke Wood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Nielsen · b Luke Wood | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Kuhnemannnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Thomas Balkinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 10.75 | 3 | 1 |
| Liam Scott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jerrssis Wadia0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Jack Wildermuth, 1.2) · 2-31 (Colin Munro, 3.0) · 3-55 (Hugh Weibgen, 6.2) · 4-74 (Matt Renshaw, 8.5) · 5-98 (Tom Alsop, 12.2) · 6-150 (Max Bryant, 15.5) · 7-168 (Xavier Bartlett, 18.2) · 8-174 (Shaheen Afridi, 19.2) · 9-177 (James Peirson, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 18 | 31/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 35/2 |
| 5 | 11 | 46/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 55/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 57/3 |
| 8 | 12 | 69/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 75/4 |
| 10 | 12 | 87/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 92/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 97/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 102/5 |
| 14 | 19 | 121/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 133/5 |
| 16 | 18 | 151/6 |
| 17 | 7 | 158/6 |
| 18 | 10 | 168/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 172/7 |
| 20 | 7 | 179/9 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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