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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
27 Dec 2025 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 53%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 17% to 94% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 6% to 84%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Shortcaught · L Haskett · Xavier Bartlett 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · L Haskett · b Xavier Bartlett | 63 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 161.54 |
 Chris Lynncaught and bowled · Xavier Bartlett2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Xavier Bartlett | 22 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 91.67 |
| Mackenzie Harveycaught · Thomas Balkin · Xavier Bartlett 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thomas Balkin · b Xavier Bartlett | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Liam Scottcaught · Xavier Bartlett · Matt Renshaw 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Xavier Bartlett · b Matt Renshaw | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Harry Manentibowled · Matthew Kuhnemann3 fours · 1 sixes |
| bowled · b Matthew Kuhnemann |
| 24 |
| 12 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 200.00 |
 Jamie Overtoncaught · James Peirson · Jack Wildermuth1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Peirson · b Jack Wildermuth | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Jerrssis Wadiacaught · James Peirson · Jack Wildermuth 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · James Peirson · b Jack Wildermuth | 34 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 212.50 |
|---|
 Luke Woodrun out · Hugh Weibgen, James Peirson · Jack Wildermuth0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hugh Weibgen, James Peirson | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Harry Nielsencaught · Jack Wildermuth · Thomas Balkin 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Wildermuth · b Thomas Balkin | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Hasan Alicaught · L Haskett · Thomas Balkin0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · L Haskett · b Thomas Balkin | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Lloyd Popenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shaheen Afridi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Wildermuth0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 59 | 2 | 14.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Balkin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.83 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt Renshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-57 (Chris Lynn, 7.1) · 2-57 (Mackenzie Harvey, 7.3) · 3-64 (Liam Scott, 8.5) · 4-104 (Harry Manenti, 12.2) · 5-120 (Jamie Overton, 14.1) · 6-156 (Matthew Short, 17.2) · 7-162 (Luke Wood, 18.1) · 8-163 (Jerrssis Wadia, 18.3) · 9-170 (Hasan Ali, 19.1) · 10-172 (Harry Nielsen, 19.5)
Recorded target: 180 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 18 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 38/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 50/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 57/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 65/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 77/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 84/3 |
| 12 | 19 | 103/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 107/4 |
| 14 | 13 | 120/4 |
| 15 | 24 | 144/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 148/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 154/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 160/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 170/8 |
| 20 | 2 | 172/10 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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