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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
28 Jan 2025 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 50%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 31% to 100% during the match (Northern Districts: 0% to 69%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowesbowled · Matthew Fisher 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Fisher | 8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 88.89 |
 Tom Lathamcaught · Jeet Raval · Brett Hampton0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jeet Raval · b Brett Hampton | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Neil Wagner · Mitchell Santner 8 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Neil Wagner · b Mitchell Santner | 66 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 157.14 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Mitchell Santner · Kris Clarke 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Kris Clarke | 67 | 44 | 2 | 3 | 152.27 |
| Cole McConchiecaught · Ben Pomare · Mitchell Santner 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Ben Pomare · b Mitchell Santner |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Mitchell Haycaught · Brett Hampton · Freddy Walker 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brett Hampton · b Freddy Walker | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkescaught · Katene Clarke · Kris Clarke 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Katene Clarke · b Kris Clarke | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 155.56 |
|---|
 Matt Henrynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Clarke0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Fisher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Brett Hampton0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 2 | 0 |
 Neil Wagner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Freddy Walker0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 5 | 0 |
1-9 (Chad Bowes, 1.5) · 2-24 (Tom Latham, 4.4) · 3-127 (Matt Boyle, 14.2) · 4-127 (Cole McConchie, 14.5) · 5-137 (Mitchell Hay, 16.0) · 6-165 (Zakary Foulkes, 19.1) · 7-173 (Daryl Mitchell, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 30/2 |
| 6 | 14 | 44/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 53/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 56/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 64/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 73/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 85/2 |
| 12 | 14 | 99/2 |
| 13 | 13 | 112/2 |
| 14 | 14 | 126/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 128/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 137/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 143/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 155/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 165/5 |
| 20 | 10 | 175/7 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Neil Wagner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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