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Central Europe Cup · 2025 · Men
10 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 44%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Austria: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khizer Ahmedbowled · Waqar Zalmai1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Waqar Zalmai | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 171.43 |
| Chaudhary Akramcaught · Sahel Zadran · Aqib Iqbal 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sahel Zadran · b Aqib Iqbal | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Walid Ghauricaught and bowled · Sahel Zadran 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sahel Zadran | 28 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 100.00 |
| D Abeyrathnastumped · MPS Cheema · Bilal Zalmai 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · MPS Cheema · b Bilal Zalmai | 15 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 78.95 |
| Faisal Razacaught · MPS Cheema · Bilal Zalmai 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MPS Cheema · b Bilal Zalmai |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Ibrahim Rahimirun out · Razmal Shigiwal, MPS Cheema · Sahel Zadran 2 fours · 4 sixes | run out · Razmal Shigiwal, MPS Cheema | 48 | 32 | 2 | 4 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Sher Sahakcaught · H Khogiyani · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · H Khogiyani · b Bilal Zalmai | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Qamar Mushtaquebowled · Karanbir Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Karanbir Singh | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Vinay Ravinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sahel Zadran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| H Khogiyani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Karanbir Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-18 (Khizer Ahmed, 2.2) · 2-39 (Chaudhary Akram, 5.1) · 3-77 (Walid Ghauri, 11.0) · 4-77 (D Abeyrathna, 11.1) · 5-86 (Faisal Raza, 13.2) · 6-108 (Sher Sahak, 15.4) · 7-123 (Qamar Mushtaque, 18.0) · 8-149 (Ibrahim Rahimi, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 45/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 52/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 64/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 68/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 71/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 77/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 80/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 82/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 89/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 101/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 110/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 114/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 123/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 133/7 |
| 20 | 16 | 149/8 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
