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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
8 Jun 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 48%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smit Patelbowled · Aryan Dutt 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aryan Dutt | 17 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 77.27 |
| Monank Patelcaught · Max O'Dowd · Aryan Dutt 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Max O'Dowd · b Aryan Dutt | 25 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 62.50 |
| Shehan Jayasuriyacaught · Scott Edwards · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Aryan Dutt | 34 | 63 | 0 | 1 | 53.97 |
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Zach Lion-Cachet · A Roy 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zach Lion-Cachet · b A Roy | 23 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 44.23 |
| Milind Kumarcaught · Roelof van der Merwe · Kyle Klein 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roelof van der Merwe · b Kyle Klein | 19 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 9% to 95% during the match (United States of America: 5% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 55.88 |
 Shubham Ranjanelbw · Kyle Klein1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Kyle Klein | 16 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Sanjay Krishnamurthibowled · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyle Klein | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Harmeet Singhbowled · A Roy 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Roy | 5 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 21.74 |
|---|
| Ehsan Adilcaught · TS Braat · Roelof van der Merwe 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · TS Braat · b Roelof van der Merwe | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 106.67 |
|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkarnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| R Ugarkarlbw · Roelof van der Merwe 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Roelof van der Merwe | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Klein1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 38 | 3 | 3.80 | 2 | 0 |
| Daniel Doram1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 3.88 | 0 | 1 |
| Aryan Dutt2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 23 | 3 | 2.30 | 0 | 0 |
| A Roy0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 3.67 | 2 | 2 |
 Zach Lion-Cachet0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 5 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.5 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 4.24 | 0 | 0 |
1-38 (Smit Patel, 8.2) · 2-48 (Monank Patel, 12.4) · 3-96 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 27.0) · 4-118 (Shehan Jayasuriya, 31.4) · 5-145 (Milind Kumar, 38.4) · 6-145 (Sanjay Krishnamurthi, 39.0) · 7-146 (Shubham Ranjane, 40.2) · 8-159 (Harmeet Singh, 44.4) · 9-175 (Ehsan Adil, 47.4) · 10-175 (R Ugarkar, 47.5)
Recorded target: 197 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 19/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 20/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 26/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 34/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 40/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 40/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 47/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 49/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 50/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 52/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 56/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 18 | 5 | 64/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 68/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 72/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 76/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 76/2 |
| 23 | 2 | 78/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 83/2 |
| 25 | 10 | 93/2 |
| 26 | 2 | 95/2 |
| 27 | 1 | 96/3 |
| 28 | 9 | 105/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 107/3 |
| 30 | 5 | 112/3 |
| 31 | 6 | 118/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 118/4 |
| 33 | 1 | 119/4 |
| 34 | 6 | 125/4 |
| 35 | 13 | 138/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 140/4 |
| 37 | 0 | 140/4 |
| 38 | 3 | 143/4 |
| 39 | 2 | 145/6 |
| 40 | 1 | 146/6 |
| 41 | 4 | 150/7 |
| 42 | 1 | 151/7 |
| 43 | 1 | 152/7 |
| 44 | 5 | 157/7 |
| 45 | 3 | 160/8 |
| 46 | 2 | 162/8 |
| 47 | 7 | 169/8 |
| 48 | 6 | 175/10 |
Shubham Ranjane: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
