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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
8 Jun 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 48%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C de Lange (2)bowled · Harmeet Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Harmeet Singh | 31 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 54.39 |
| Max O'Dowdcaught · Smit Patel · Harmeet Singh 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Harmeet Singh | 59 | 111 | 3 | 0 | 53.15 |
| Scott Edwardsrun out · Monank Patel · Ehsan Adil 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Monank Patel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
 Zach Lion-Cachetbowled · Ehsan Adil1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Adil | 34 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 54.84 |
 Bas de Leede |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 9% to 95% during the match (United States of America: 5% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| not out |
| 36* |
| 34 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 105.88 |
| Noah Croesrun out · Monank Patel · Ehsan Adil 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Monank Patel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
 Roelof van der Merwebowled · Harmeet Singh1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Harmeet Singh | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Kyle Kleincaught · Smit Patel · Harmeet Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Harmeet Singh | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Aryan Duttbowled · Saurabh Netravalkar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| A Roynot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 14 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehsan Adil0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 3.80 | 1 | 1 |
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 |
| R Ugarkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 5.71 | 0 | 0 |
 Shubham Ranjane0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 2.78 | 1 | 0 |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 3.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 26 | 4 | 2.60 | 2 | 0 |
| Sanjay Krishnamurthi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-75 (C de Lange (2), 21.0) · 2-75 (Scott Edwards, 21.3) · 3-130 (Zach Lion-Cachet, 37.4) · 4-132 (Max O'Dowd, 39.0) · 5-132 (Noah Croes, 39.1) · 6-137 (Roelof van der Merwe, 40.2) · 7-143 (Kyle Klein, 42.4) · 8-152 (Aryan Dutt, 45.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 21/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 25/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 32/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 34/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 42/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 44/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 48/0 |
| 14 | 6 | 54/0 |
| 15 | 2 | 56/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 58/0 |
| 17 | 3 | 61/0 |
| 18 | 3 | 64/0 |
| 19 | 5 | 69/0 |
| 20 | 5 | 74/0 |
| 21 | 1 | 75/1 |
| 22 | 1 | 76/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 80/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 82/2 |
| 25 | 4 | 86/2 |
| 26 | 5 | 91/2 |
| 27 | 2 | 93/2 |
| 28 | 6 | 99/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 103/2 |
| 30 | 1 | 104/2 |
| 31 | 6 | 110/2 |
| 32 | 5 | 115/2 |
| 33 | 5 | 120/2 |
| 34 | 3 | 123/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 126/2 |
| 36 | 3 | 129/2 |
| 37 | 0 | 129/2 |
| 38 | 1 | 130/3 |
| 39 | 2 | 132/4 |
| 40 | 5 | 137/5 |
| 41 | 2 | 139/6 |
| 42 | 2 | 141/6 |
| 43 | 3 | 144/7 |
| 44 | 2 | 146/7 |
| 45 | 5 | 151/7 |
| 46 | 2 | 153/8 |
| 47 | 9 | 162/8 |
| 48 | 1 | 163/8 |
| 49 | 17 | 180/8 |
| 50 | 16 | 196/8 |
Shubham Ranjane: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
