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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
25 Jun 2025 · Test
Kensington Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Konstaslbw · Shamar Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shamar Joseph | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21.43 |
 Usman Khawajacaught · Shai Hope · Shamar Joseph4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Shamar Joseph | 47 | 128 | 4 | 1 | 36.72 |
 Cameron Greencaught · Justin Greaves · Shamar Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Justin Greaves · b Shamar Joseph | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| caught · Shai Hope · b Jayden Seales |
| 5 |
| 15 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
 Travis Headcaught · Shai Hope · Justin Greaves9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Justin Greaves | 59 | 78 | 9 | 0 | 75.64 |
|---|
 Beau Websterbowled · Shamar Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 11 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 45.83 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Roston Chase · Jayden Seales1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roston Chase · b Jayden Seales | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 53.33 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · Kraigg Brathwaite · Jayden Seales3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kraigg Brathwaite · b Jayden Seales | 28 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 155.56 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starccaught · Justin Greaves · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Justin Greaves · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyonnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 17 | 1 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodcaught · Shai Hope · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Jayden Seales | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Seales1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.5 | 1 | 60 | 5 | 3.79 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 16.0 | 3 | 46 | 4 | 2.88 | 0 | 1 |
| Alzarri Joseph3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 3.08 | 0 | 0 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Greaves2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 2.89 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Sam Konstas, 3.4) · 2-14 (Cameron Green, 9.4) · 3-22 (Josh Inglis, 15.1) · 4-111 (Usman Khawaja, 39.4) · 5-123 (Beau Webster, 44.0) · 6-138 (Alex Carey, 48.4) · 7-142 (Travis Head, 49.2) · 8-143 (Mitchell Starc, 50.2) · 9-170 (Pat Cummins, 54.4) · 10-180 (Josh Hazlewood, 56.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 8/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 10/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 12/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 12/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 17/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 19/2 |
| 12 | 0 | 19/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 21/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 22/2 |
| 15 | 0 | 22/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 26/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 37/3 |
| 18 | 10 | 47/3 |
| 19 | 5 | 52/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 53/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 54/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 59/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 61/3 |
| 24 | 0 | 61/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 69/3 |
| 27 | 5 | 74/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 76/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 80/3 |
| 30 | 6 | 86/3 |
| 31 | 0 | 86/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 91/3 |
| 33 | 3 | 94/3 |
| 34 | 5 | 99/3 |
| 35 | 3 | 102/3 |
| 36 | 4 | 106/3 |
| 37 | 2 | 108/3 |
| 38 | 1 | 109/3 |
| 39 | 2 | 111/3 |
| 40 | 1 | 112/4 |
| 41 | 1 | 113/4 |
| 42 | 1 | 114/4 |
| 43 | 5 | 119/4 |
| 44 | 4 | 123/5 |
| 45 | 2 | 125/5 |
| 46 | 5 | 130/5 |
| 47 | 6 | 136/5 |
| 48 | 1 | 137/5 |
| 49 | 5 | 142/6 |
| 50 | 0 | 142/7 |
| 51 | 3 | 145/8 |
| 52 | 11 | 156/8 |
| 53 | 14 | 170/8 |
| 54 | 0 | 170/8 |
| 55 | 2 | 172/9 |
| 56 | 6 | 178/9 |
| 57 | 2 | 180/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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