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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
25 Jun 2025 · Test
Kensington Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Konstasbowled · Shamar Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 5 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 13.16 |
 Usman Khawajalbw · Alzarri Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Alzarri Joseph | 15 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 68.18 |
 Cameron Greencaught · Roston Chase · Justin Greaves2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roston Chase · b Justin Greaves | 15 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 31.91 |
| bowled · b Jayden Seales |
| 12 |
| 33 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 36.36 |
 Travis Headlbw · Shamar Joseph8 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shamar Joseph | 61 | 95 | 8 | 0 | 64.21 |
|---|
 Beau Webstercaught · Shai Hope · Shamar Joseph8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Shamar Joseph | 63 | 120 | 8 | 0 | 52.50 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Justin Greaves · Roston Chase7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Justin Greaves · b Roston Chase | 65 | 75 | 7 | 2 | 86.67 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · Kraigg Brathwaite · Alzarri Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kraigg Brathwaite · b Alzarri Joseph | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 64.29 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcbowled · Shamar Joseph3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 16 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 94.12 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyonnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 27 | 2 | 0 | 48.15 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodbowled · Shamar Joseph2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 13 · wides: 0 · noballs: 9 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Seales4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 4 | 70 | 1 | 3.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph5 maidens · 0 wides · 7 no-balls | 25.5 | 5 | 87 | 5 | 3.37 | 0 | 7 |
| Alzarri Joseph2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 65 | 2 | 4.06 | 0 | 2 |
| Justin Greaves1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 1 | 55 | 1 | 4.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Jomel Warrican2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Roston Chase1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Usman Khawaja, 8.4) · 2-34 (Sam Konstas, 11.2) · 3-57 (Josh Inglis, 21.4) · 4-65 (Cameron Green, 25.0) · 5-167 (Travis Head, 53.0) · 6-208 (Beau Webster, 63.0) · 7-247 (Pat Cummins, 67.2) · 8-264 (Mitchell Starc, 70.2) · 9-291 (Alex Carey, 78.3) · 10-310 (Josh Hazlewood, 81.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 23/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 27/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 28/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 31/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 34/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 36/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 41/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 43/2 |
| 15 | 0 | 43/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 46/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 47/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 48/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 55/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 56/2 |
| 21 | 1 | 57/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 57/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 59/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 25 | 2 | 65/4 |
| 26 | 3 | 68/4 |
| 27 | 6 | 74/4 |
| 28 | 0 | 74/4 |
| 29 | 9 | 83/4 |
| 30 | 0 | 83/4 |
| 31 | 6 | 89/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 91/4 |
| 33 | 1 | 92/4 |
| 34 | 1 | 93/4 |
| 35 | 3 | 96/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 102/4 |
| 37 | 6 | 108/4 |
| 38 | 2 | 110/4 |
| 39 | 4 | 114/4 |
| 40 | 1 | 115/4 |
| 41 | 6 | 121/4 |
| 42 | 0 | 121/4 |
| 43 | 8 | 129/4 |
| 44 | 11 | 140/4 |
| 45 | 2 | 142/4 |
| 46 | 6 | 148/4 |
| 47 | 6 | 154/4 |
| 48 | 2 | 156/4 |
| 49 | 1 | 157/4 |
| 50 | 0 | 157/4 |
| 51 | 2 | 159/4 |
| 52 | 0 | 159/4 |
| 53 | 8 | 167/5 |
| 54 | 4 | 171/5 |
| 55 | 2 | 173/5 |
| 56 | 1 | 174/5 |
| 57 | 7 | 181/5 |
| 58 | 5 | 186/5 |
| 59 | 3 | 189/5 |
| 60 | 2 | 191/5 |
| 61 | 2 | 193/5 |
| 62 | 4 | 197/5 |
| 63 | 11 | 208/6 |
| 64 | 14 | 222/6 |
| 65 | 4 | 226/6 |
| 66 | 10 | 236/6 |
| 67 | 9 | 245/6 |
| 68 | 3 | 248/7 |
| 69 | 9 | 257/7 |
| 70 | 7 | 264/7 |
| 71 | 0 | 264/8 |
| 72 | 0 | 264/8 |
| 73 | 11 | 275/8 |
| 74 | 3 | 278/8 |
| 75 | 10 | 288/8 |
| 76 | 1 | 289/8 |
| 77 | 1 | 290/8 |
| 78 | 1 | 291/8 |
| 79 | 0 | 291/9 |
| 80 | 6 | 297/9 |
| 81 | 10 | 307/9 |
| 82 | 3 | 310/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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