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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
25 Jun 2025 · Test
Kensington Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitecaught · Sam Konstas · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Konstas · b Mitchell Starc | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| John Campbellcaught · Alex Carey · Josh Hazlewood 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Josh Hazlewood | 23 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 74.19 |
| Keacy Cartybowled · Josh Hazlewood 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Hazlewood | 20 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
| Brandon Kingcaught · Cameron Green · Josh Hazlewood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Green · b Josh Hazlewood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Roston Chasecaught · Sam Konstas · Josh Hazlewood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Konstas · b Josh Hazlewood | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Shai Hopebowled · Pat Cummins0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pat Cummins | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 9.52 |
|---|
| Justin Greavesnot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 38* | 53 | 8 | 0 | 71.70 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephrun out · M Labuschagne · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Labuschagne | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jomel Warricancaught · Alex Carey · Josh Hazlewood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Josh Hazlewood | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephcaught · Usman Khawaja · Nathan Lyon 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Usman Khawaja · b Nathan Lyon | 44 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealescaught · Sam Konstas · Nathan Lyon 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Konstas · b Nathan Lyon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Hazlewood3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 3 | 43 | 5 | 3.58 | 0 | 0 |
 Pat Cummins2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 2.14 | 0 | 0 |
 Beau Webster2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Nathan Lyon1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 1.0) · 2-47 (John Campbell, 10.1) · 3-47 (Brandon King, 10.2) · 4-49 (Roston Chase, 12.5) · 5-56 (Keacy Carty, 14.4) · 6-61 (Shai Hope, 20.4) · 7-73 (Alzarri Joseph, 23.1) · 8-86 (Jomel Warrican, 26.3) · 9-141 (Shamar Joseph, 33.3) · 10-141 (Jayden Seales, 33.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 19/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 25/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 25/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 35/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 45/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 47/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 48/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 49/3 |
| 13 | 0 | 49/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 53/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 57/5 |
| 16 | 0 | 57/5 |
| 17 | 0 | 57/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 61/5 |
| 19 | 0 | 61/5 |
| 20 | 0 | 61/5 |
| 21 | 0 | 61/6 |
| 22 | 12 | 73/6 |
| 23 | 0 | 73/6 |
| 24 | 1 | 74/7 |
| 25 | 2 | 76/7 |
| 26 | 10 | 86/7 |
| 27 | 5 | 91/8 |
| 28 | 15 | 106/8 |
| 29 | 10 | 116/8 |
| 30 | 0 | 116/8 |
| 31 | 1 | 117/8 |
| 32 | 16 | 133/8 |
| 33 | 4 | 137/8 |
| 34 | 4 | 141/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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