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Photo: Philip Terry Graham
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
3 Jan 2026 · T20
Sydney Showground Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 43%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 0% to 77% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 23% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gilkescaught · Matthew Wade · Will Prestwidge 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Wade · b Will Prestwidge | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
11 fours · 9 sixes | not out | 130* | 65 | 11 | 9 | 200.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Will Prestwidge | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nathan Ellis | 20 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 83.33 |
0 fours · 2 sixes | retired out | 30 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 115.38 |
|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 6 | 1 | 1 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 4 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 1 | 2 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mitchell Owen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Matthew Gilkes, 0.1) · 2-0 (Sam Konstas, 0.2) · 3-66 (Sam Billings, 8.2) · 4-161 (Nic Maddinson, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/2 |
| 2 | 10 | 16/2 |
| 3 | 13 | 29/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 36/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 41/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 51/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 65/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 74/3 |
| 10 | 15 | 89/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 98/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 109/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 114/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 122/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 125/3 |
| 16 | 16 | 141/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 150/3 |
| 18 | 11 | 161/4 |
| 19 | 14 | 175/4 |
| 20 | 30 | 205/4 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Nic Maddinson: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Prestwidge: QWisps · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.