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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Uganda) · 2024/25 · Women
9 Mar 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 67%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 25% to 84% during the match (Hong Kong: 16% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sune Wittmannlbw · Kary Chan 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kary Chan | 16 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 72.73 |
| M Mwatilestumped · Y Daswani · Kary Chan 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Y Daswani · b Kary Chan | 15 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 51.72 |
| Yasmeen Khancaught · Kary Chan · Mariko Hill 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kary Chan · b Mariko Hill | 35 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 106.06 |
| Sylvia Shiheporun out · Natasha Miles, Kary Chan · Kary Chan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Natasha Miles, Kary Chan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Arrasta Diergaardtnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 23 | 2 | 0 | 86.96 |
| E Van Zyl |
| caught · Natasha Miles · b Chan Ka Man |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| Wilka Mwatilecaught · Kary Chan · Mariko Hill 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kary Chan · b Mariko Hill | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Kayleen Greennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iqra Sahar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| M Wai Siu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Kary Chan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Emma Lai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| K Mahekdeep0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Chan Ka Man0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| M Bibi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mariko Hill0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Sune Wittmann, 7.2) · 2-42 (M Mwatile, 9.5) · 3-56 (Sylvia Shihepo, 11.3) · 4-98 (Yasmeen Khan, 16.4) · 5-101 (E Van Zyl, 17.5) · 6-106 (Wilka Mwatile, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 21/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 30/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 33/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 34/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 40/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 54/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 59/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 68/3 |
| 15 | 16 | 84/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 97/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 98/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 101/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 109/6 |
| 20 | 3 | 112/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.