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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Uganda) · 2024/25 · Women
9 Mar 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 67%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 25% to 84% during the match (Hong Kong: 16% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Milesrun out · Yasmeen Khan, M Gorases · Eveleen Kejarukua 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Yasmeen Khan, M Gorases | 40 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 95.24 |
| Shanzeen Shahzadcaught · Sune Wittmann · Arrasta Diergaardt 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sune Wittmann · b Arrasta Diergaardt | 8 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 42.11 |
| Mariko Hillbowled · Wilka Mwatile 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Wilka Mwatile | 22 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 84.62 |
| Kary Chanstumped · M Gorases · M Mwatile 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · M Gorases · b M Mwatile | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Y Daswanicaught · M Gorases · M Mwatile 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Gorases · b M Mwatile | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| not out |
| 30* |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 157.89 |
| Emma Laibowled · S Tuhadeleni 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Tuhadeleni | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| M Wai Siunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilka Mwatile0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayleen Green0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 4 | 0 |
| S Tuhadeleni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 9.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Arrasta Diergaardt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| M Mwatile0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Eveleen Kejarukua0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-38 (Shanzeen Shahzad, 7.0) · 2-64 (Natasha Miles, 12.5) · 3-67 (Kary Chan, 13.4) · 4-67 (Y Daswani, 13.5) · 5-85 (Mariko Hill, 16.5) · 6-96 (Emma Lai, 18.0)
Recorded target: 113 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 25/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 33/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 45/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 46/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 51/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 56/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 59/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 65/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 67/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 75/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 78/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 85/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 96/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 103/6 |
| 20 | 12 | 115/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.