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Photo: Gnan garra
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.5 au
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
20 Jan 2026 · T20
Perth Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 50%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Marshcaught · Lachlan Shaw · Mitchell Starc1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lachlan Shaw · b Mitchell Starc | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Finn Allenbowled · Ben Dwarshuis 2 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Ben Dwarshuis | 49 | 30 | 2 | 4 | 163.33 |
| Aaron Hardiecaught · Josh Philippe · Mitchell Starc 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Mitchell Starc | 17 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 89.47 |
 Josh Ingliscaught · Steve Smith · Joel Davies0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Joel Davies | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Ben Manenti |
| 8 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 72.73 |
 Ashton Turnercaught and bowled · Jack Edwards3 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jack Edwards | 29 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 138.10 |
|---|
| Laurie Evanscaught · Jack Edwards · Ben Dwarshuis 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Edwards · b Ben Dwarshuis | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Jhye Richardsonbowled · Jack Edwards 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jack Edwards | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Brody Couchnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| David Paynerun out · Josh Philippe, Lachlan Shaw · Jack Edwards 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Josh Philippe, Lachlan Shaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Mitchell Starc0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Davies0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Edwards0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Ben Manenti0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Mitchell Marsh, 1.5) · 2-67 (Finn Allen, 7.4) · 3-69 (Josh Inglis, 9.2) · 4-80 (Cooper Connolly, 11.2) · 5-87 (Aaron Hardie, 12.3) · 6-101 (Laurie Evans, 14.1) · 7-145 (Jhye Richardson, 19.3) · 8-146 (Ashton Turner, 19.5) · 9-147 (David Payne, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 33/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 14 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 68/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 69/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 79/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 80/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 82/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 87/5 |
| 14 | 14 | 101/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 104/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 114/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 119/6 |
| 18 | 13 | 132/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 142/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 147/9 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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