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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
10 Jul 2025 · Test
Lord's · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Harry Brook · Jofra Archer3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Jofra Archer | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 162.50 |
 KL Rahulcaught · Harry Brook · Shoaib Bashir13 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Shoaib Bashir | 100 | 177 | 13 | 0 | 56.50 |
 Karun Naircaught · Joe Root · Ben Stokes4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Ben Stokes | 40 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 64.52 |
| caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes |
| 16 |
| 44 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 36.36 |
 Rishabh Pantrun out · Ben Stokes · Shoaib Bashir8 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Ben Stokes | 74 | 112 | 8 | 2 | 66.07 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Jamie Smith · Chris Woakes8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes | 72 | 131 | 8 | 1 | 54.96 |
|---|
 Nitish Kumar Reddycaught · Jamie Smith · Ben Stokes4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Ben Stokes | 30 | 91 | 4 | 0 | 32.97 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarcaught · Harry Brook · Jofra Archer1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Jofra Archer | 23 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 30.26 |
|---|
| Akash Deepcaught · Harry Brook · Brydon Carse 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Brydon Carse | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 70.00 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · Jamie Smith · Chris Woakes0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 27.0 | 5 | 84 | 3 | 3.11 | 0 | 0 |
 Jofra Archer6 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 23.2 | 6 | 52 | 2 | 2.23 | 0 | 1 |
 Brydon Carse5 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 24.0 | 5 | 88 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 3 |
 Ben Stokes4 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 20.0 | 4 | 63 | 2 | 3.15 | 1 | 1 |
| Shoaib Bashir2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.5 | 2 | 59 | 1 | 3.98 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.1 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 3.44 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 1.3) · 2-74 (Karun Nair, 20.2) · 3-107 (Shubman Gill, 33.1) · 4-248 (Rishabh Pant, 65.3) · 5-254 (KL Rahul, 67.1) · 6-326 (Nitish Kumar Reddy, 94.3) · 7-376 (Ravindra Jadeja, 113.2) · 8-385 (Akash Deep, 116.1) · 9-387 (Jasprit Bumrah, 118.4) · 10-387 (Washington Sundar, 119.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 23/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 27/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 37/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 39/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 41/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 42/1 |
| 12 | 0 | 42/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 42/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 44/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 47/1 |
| 16 | 6 | 53/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 57/1 |
| 18 | 8 | 65/1 |
| 19 | 4 | 69/1 |
| 20 | 5 | 74/1 |
| 21 | 0 | 74/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 74/2 |
| 23 | 5 | 79/2 |
| 24 | 1 | 80/2 |
| 25 | 0 | 80/2 |
| 26 | 10 | 90/2 |
| 27 | 3 | 93/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 98/2 |
| 29 | 0 | 98/2 |
| 30 | 3 | 101/2 |
| 31 | 2 | 103/2 |
| 32 | 4 | 107/2 |
| 33 | 0 | 107/2 |
| 34 | 4 | 111/3 |
| 35 | 7 | 118/3 |
| 36 | 1 | 119/3 |
| 37 | 9 | 128/3 |
| 38 | 5 | 133/3 |
| 39 | 3 | 136/3 |
| 40 | 4 | 140/3 |
| 41 | 2 | 142/3 |
| 42 | 2 | 144/3 |
| 43 | 1 | 145/3 |
| 44 | 9 | 154/3 |
| 45 | 1 | 155/3 |
| 46 | 3 | 158/3 |
| 47 | 0 | 158/3 |
| 48 | 0 | 158/3 |
| 49 | 0 | 158/3 |
| 50 | 1 | 159/3 |
| 51 | 5 | 164/3 |
| 52 | 10 | 174/3 |
| 53 | 6 | 180/3 |
| 54 | 12 | 192/3 |
| 55 | 5 | 197/3 |
| 56 | 0 | 197/3 |
| 57 | 3 | 200/3 |
| 58 | 6 | 206/3 |
| 59 | 9 | 215/3 |
| 60 | 6 | 221/3 |
| 61 | 3 | 224/3 |
| 62 | 9 | 233/3 |
| 63 | 7 | 240/3 |
| 64 | 1 | 241/3 |
| 65 | 6 | 247/3 |
| 66 | 5 | 252/4 |
| 67 | 2 | 254/4 |
| 68 | 0 | 254/5 |
| 69 | 1 | 255/5 |
| 70 | 3 | 258/5 |
| 71 | 1 | 259/5 |
| 72 | 1 | 260/5 |
| 73 | 1 | 261/5 |
| 74 | 6 | 267/5 |
| 75 | 5 | 272/5 |
| 76 | 6 | 278/5 |
| 77 | 2 | 280/5 |
| 78 | 6 | 286/5 |
| 79 | 1 | 287/5 |
| 80 | 3 | 290/5 |
| 81 | 1 | 291/5 |
| 82 | 4 | 295/5 |
| 83 | 4 | 299/5 |
| 84 | 2 | 301/5 |
| 85 | 1 | 302/5 |
| 86 | 0 | 302/5 |
| 87 | 1 | 303/5 |
| 88 | 3 | 306/5 |
| 89 | 5 | 311/5 |
| 90 | 3 | 314/5 |
| 91 | 2 | 316/5 |
| 92 | 1 | 317/5 |
| 93 | 5 | 322/5 |
| 94 | 4 | 326/5 |
| 95 | 0 | 326/6 |
| 96 | 2 | 328/6 |
| 97 | 2 | 330/6 |
| 98 | 4 | 334/6 |
| 99 | 1 | 335/6 |
| 100 | 1 | 336/6 |
| 101 | 2 | 338/6 |
| 102 | 2 | 340/6 |
| 103 | 0 | 340/6 |
| 104 | 8 | 348/6 |
| 105 | 4 | 352/6 |
| 106 | 4 | 356/6 |
| 107 | 9 | 365/6 |
| 108 | 6 | 371/6 |
| 109 | 3 | 374/6 |
| 110 | 0 | 374/6 |
| 111 | 1 | 375/6 |
| 112 | 1 | 376/6 |
| 113 | 0 | 376/6 |
| 114 | 0 | 376/7 |
| 115 | 2 | 378/7 |
| 116 | 7 | 385/7 |
| 117 | 0 | 385/8 |
| 118 | 1 | 386/8 |
| 119 | 1 | 387/9 |
| 120 | 0 | 387/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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