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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of England · 2025 · Men
10 Jul 2025 · Test
Lord's · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Jamie Smith · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Jofra Archer | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 KL Rahullbw · Ben Stokes6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ben Stokes | 39 | 58 | 6 | 0 | 67.24 |
 Karun Nairlbw · Brydon Carse1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Brydon Carse | 14 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 42.42 |
 |
| lbw · b Brydon Carse |
| 6 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Akash Deepbowled · Ben Stokes 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Stokes | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
|---|
 Rishabh Pantbowled · Jofra Archer2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jofra Archer | 9 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejanot out4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 61* | 181 | 4 | 1 | 33.70 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarcaught and bowled · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jofra Archer | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Nitish Kumar Reddycaught · Jamie Smith · Chris Woakes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes | 13 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 24.53 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · SJ Cook · Ben Stokes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SJ Cook · b Ben Stokes | 5 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 9.26 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajbowled · Shoaib Bashir0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shoaib Bashir | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 13.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 6 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Jofra Archer1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 1 | 55 | 3 | 3.44 | 5 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes4 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 24.0 | 4 | 48 | 3 | 2.00 | 0 | 2 |
 Brydon Carse2 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 30 | 2 | 1.88 | 1 | 1 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Bashir1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1.03 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 1.4) · 2-41 (Karun Nair, 12.3) · 3-53 (Shubman Gill, 15.0) · 4-58 (Akash Deep, 17.4) · 5-71 (Rishabh Pant, 20.5) · 6-81 (KL Rahul, 23.5) · 7-82 (Washington Sundar, 24.4) · 8-112 (Nitish Kumar Reddy, 39.3) · 9-147 (Jasprit Bumrah, 61.3) · 10-170 (Mohammed Siraj, 74.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 17/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 26/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 27/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 28/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 35/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 40/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 43/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 47/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 53/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 57/3 |
| 17 | 0 | 57/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 59/4 |
| 19 | 4 | 63/4 |
| 20 | 3 | 66/4 |
| 21 | 6 | 72/5 |
| 22 | 3 | 75/5 |
| 23 | 5 | 80/5 |
| 24 | 1 | 81/6 |
| 25 | 1 | 82/7 |
| 26 | 4 | 86/7 |
| 27 | 7 | 93/7 |
| 28 | 1 | 94/7 |
| 29 | 1 | 95/7 |
| 30 | 2 | 97/7 |
| 31 | 2 | 99/7 |
| 32 | 1 | 100/7 |
| 33 | 1 | 101/7 |
| 34 | 0 | 101/7 |
| 35 | 2 | 103/7 |
| 36 | 4 | 107/7 |
| 37 | 1 | 108/7 |
| 38 | 0 | 108/7 |
| 39 | 4 | 112/7 |
| 40 | 0 | 112/8 |
| 41 | 5 | 117/8 |
| 42 | 1 | 118/8 |
| 43 | 5 | 123/8 |
| 44 | 0 | 123/8 |
| 45 | 0 | 123/8 |
| 46 | 1 | 124/8 |
| 47 | 1 | 125/8 |
| 48 | 7 | 132/8 |
| 49 | 1 | 133/8 |
| 50 | 1 | 134/8 |
| 51 | 1 | 135/8 |
| 52 | 1 | 136/8 |
| 53 | 1 | 137/8 |
| 54 | 1 | 138/8 |
| 55 | 0 | 138/8 |
| 56 | 0 | 138/8 |
| 57 | 1 | 139/8 |
| 58 | 1 | 140/8 |
| 59 | 5 | 145/8 |
| 60 | 0 | 145/8 |
| 61 | 2 | 147/8 |
| 62 | 0 | 147/9 |
| 63 | 1 | 148/9 |
| 64 | 1 | 149/9 |
| 65 | 1 | 150/9 |
| 66 | 4 | 154/9 |
| 67 | 0 | 154/9 |
| 68 | 5 | 159/9 |
| 69 | 3 | 162/9 |
| 70 | 1 | 163/9 |
| 71 | 1 | 164/9 |
| 72 | 2 | 166/9 |
| 73 | 2 | 168/9 |
| 74 | 1 | 169/9 |
| 75 | 1 | 170/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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