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Photo: CAPTAIN RAJU
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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South Africa tour of Bangladesh · 2024/25 · Men
29 Oct 2024 · Test
Chittagong Divisional Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadman Islamcaught · Kyle Verreynne · Kagiso Rabada 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Mahmudul Hasan Joycaught · Aiden Markram · Dane Paterson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Dane Paterson | 10 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 47.62 |
 Zakir Hasancaught · Kyle Verreynne · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Kagiso Rabada | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Mominul Haque |
| lbw · b Senuran Muthusamy |
| 82 |
| 112 |
| 8 |
| 2 |
| 73.21 |
 Hasan Mahmudbowled · Keshav Maharaj0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Keshav Maharaj | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
 Najmul Hossain Shantocaught · Kyle Verreynne · Kagiso Rabada2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Kagiso Rabada | 9 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
 Mushfiqur Rahimcaught · Tony de Zorzi · Dane Paterson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tony de Zorzi · b Dane Paterson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mehedi Hasancaught · Kyle Verreynne · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Kagiso Rabada | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Mahidul Islam Ankonlbw · Kagiso Rabada 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Taijul Islamcaught and bowled · Keshav Maharaj1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Keshav Maharaj | 30 | 95 | 1 | 0 | 31.58 |
|---|
 Nahid Rananot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 10 · penalty: 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada1 maidens · 0 wides · 6 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 37 | 5 | 4.11 | 0 | 6 |
 Dane Paterson1 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 31 | 2 | 3.10 | 0 | 4 |
 Keshav Maharaj4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.2 | 4 | 57 | 2 | 3.49 | 0 | 0 |
 Aiden Markram1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Senuran Muthusamy1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Shadman Islam, 0.5) · 2-21 (Zakir Hasan, 4.2) · 3-29 (Mahmudul Hasan Joy, 5.5) · 4-32 (Hasan Mahmud, 7.0) · 5-46 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 12.5) · 6-47 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 13.3) · 7-48 (Mehedi Hasan, 14.1) · 8-48 (Mahidul Islam Ankon, 14.3) · 9-151 (Mominul Haque, 42.1) · 10-159 (Taijul Islam, 45.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 25/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 32/3 |
| 7 | 0 | 32/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 34/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 38/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 40/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 44/4 |
| 12 | 1 | 45/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 46/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 48/6 |
| 15 | 0 | 48/8 |
| 16 | 10 | 58/8 |
| 17 | 8 | 66/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 69/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 72/8 |
| 20 | 2 | 74/8 |
| 21 | 2 | 76/8 |
| 22 | 4 | 80/8 |
| 23 | 1 | 81/8 |
| 24 | 6 | 87/8 |
| 25 | 0 | 87/8 |
| 26 | 3 | 90/8 |
| 27 | 1 | 91/8 |
| 28 | 3 | 94/8 |
| 29 | 3 | 97/8 |
| 30 | 5 | 102/8 |
| 31 | 5 | 107/8 |
| 32 | 6 | 113/8 |
| 33 | 0 | 113/8 |
| 34 | 3 | 116/8 |
| 35 | 9 | 125/8 |
| 36 | 5 | 130/8 |
| 37 | 7 | 137/8 |
| 38 | 0 | 137/8 |
| 39 | 0 | 137/8 |
| 40 | 8 | 145/8 |
| 41 | 6 | 151/8 |
| 42 | 0 | 151/8 |
| 43 | 0 | 151/9 |
| 44 | 1 | 152/9 |
| 45 | 5 | 157/9 |
| 46 | 2 | 159/10 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Dane Paterson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zakir Hasan: Press Information Department · Public domain
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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