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Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2024/25 · Men
13 Jan 2025 · T20
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 46%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Paarl Royals: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 13 Jan 2025, MI Cape Town played Paarl Royals at Newlands, Cape Town. Recorded result: MI Cape Town won by 33 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.