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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
23 Jan 2026 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 65%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 21% to 94% during the match (Canterbury: 6% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KG Andersoncaught · Jess Kerr · HC Francis 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Kerr · b HC Francis | 35 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 85.37 |
 Naomi Stalenbergbowled · Jess Kerr0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jess Kerr | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Izzy Sharpcaught · Jess Kerr · HC Francis 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Kerr · b HC Francis | 26 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 152.94 |
| J Deanbowled · N Baird 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b N Baird | 21 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| KP Irwinbowled · XA Jetly 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b XA Jetly | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Lea Tahuhucaught · Jess Kerr · HC Francis0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Kerr · b HC Francis | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Lauren Smithnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 20* | 16 | 1 | 1 | 125.00 |
|---|
| MJ Banksrun out · Jess McFadyen · JA Simmons 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jess McFadyen | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| AG Gerkennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| XA Jetly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| N Baird0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Simmons0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 2 | 0 |
| RJ Bryant0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| HC Francis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-13 (Naomi Stalenberg, 2.2) · 2-61 (Izzy Sharp, 8.4) · 3-80 (KG Anderson, 12.3) · 4-89 (KP Irwin, 13.5) · 5-96 (J Dean, 15.2) · 6-98 (Lea Tahuhu, 16.1) · 7-120 (MJ Banks, 19.3)
Recorded target: 131 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 40/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 45/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 56/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 61/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 64/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 70/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 78/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 82/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 90/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 95/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 98/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 102/6 |
| 18 | 2 | 104/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 114/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 124/7 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naomi Stalenberg: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lea Tahuhu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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